Minutecast World Cup Special 7 – Japan vs. Paraguay last 16 preview
(This article originally appeared on the Football Japan Minutecast.
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After securing their first ever wins and qualification from the group
stage in a World Cup held away from home soil, the Japanese national team will
now seek to go one better when they face Paraguay in Pretoria tomorrow
afternoon for a place in the quarter-finals.
Confidence is soaring both inside and outside the camp after last
Thursday’s convincing 3-1 victory over Denmark sealed second spot in Group E. Takeshi
Okada’s ‘best four’ target – which became a major source for mockery among both
pundits and supporters as Japan suffered a run of successive losses in the
lead-up to the tournament – is suddenly being spoken about in serious terms
again, but the manager himself has insisted that this next step will be the
most significant.
“The hurdle of reaching the last eight has always been in the back of my
mind since our opening game,” said Okada yesterday. “Right now, we are
concentrating solely on beating Paraguay.”
This is a hurdle that Japan have tried and failed to overcome once
before, leading some domestic observers to recall the mistakes of the co-hosted
World Cup in 2002. Then, Philippe Troussier’s side surrendered meekly during
their second round game in Miyagi against Turkey, who went on to beat Senegal
in the last eight before losing narrowly to eventual champions Brazil in the
semi-finals. Many still see this as a missed opportunity caused by premature
satisfaction at simply qualifying from the group stage, and in this respect,
popular opinion is beginning to accept that there may have been some logic
behind Okada’s lofty aspirations after all.
Both current captain Makoto Hasebe and predecessor Yuji Nakazawa have declared
that the players do indeed have the hunger to keep on progressing this time
around, while Okada and left-back Yuto Nagatomo have also spoken about their
desire to fly the flag for Asia after South Korea’s 2-1 defeat to Uruguay on
Saturday left Japan as the competition’s only remaining AFC representatives. History
would not appear to be on the side of the Samurai Blue, however, as South
American teams have won eight of the previous ten encounters between the two continents
at World Cups, with solitary group stage draws for North Korea against Chile in
1966 and South Korea against Bolivia in 1994.
That said, victory for Paraguay at the Loftus Versfield Stadium would
also represent their first ever victory in the knockout stages of a World Cup
after falling at the last 16 on three previous occasions. Despite finishing top
of a group containing reigning world champions Italy, La Albirroja looked out of sorts in their goalless draw with New
Zealand last week and will have to do without defensive midfielder Victor Cáceres
through suspension. Coach Gerardo Martino also has to decide whether or not to include
defender Antolín Alcaraz and midfielder Jonathan Santana – both of whom
returned to training on Saturday after missing the final group game through
injury – as Paraguay look for a way of nullifying the Japanese danger at set
pieces.
“Obviously from what we saw the other day,” said
Martino, “we need to try not to concede fouls near the area. When Japan find
space they get men forward into attack and this is the most important issue to
be careful about.”
Japan look certain to keep with the same
starting eleven for the fourth game in a row after Marcus Tulio Tanaka announced
that he has recovered from a knock picked up against Denmark. The Nagoya
Grampus stopper has backed the likes of Keisuke Honda to maintain the side’s
prowess at free-kicks, stating “Every goal is so much more precious now in this
knockout stage and it is important we try to get our noses in front first. One
thing we will have to try and do is vary our set-pieces to surprise the
Paraguayans.”
------------
In six previous games between the two countries, Paraguay hold the upper
hand with two victories to Japan’s one – including a 4-0 romp in their only
competitive meeting at the 1999 Copa America – but Japan are unbeaten in three
friendlies played so far this century. The second round match kicks off in
Pretoria at 4pm local time (11pm Japanese time), with the winners set to play
either Spain or Portugal in the last eight.
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Comments
Go Japan! I have a feeling it's going to come down to mental toughness. If they can take an early lead, gain confidence and settle, then they have a really good chance of pulling it off. I've yet to see them come from behind to win, though, and worry that if Paraguay score first it will be hard for them to recover.
Posted by: Claire | 06/29/2010 at 12:50 PM